英文【NREL】储能未来研究—分布式太阳能和储能展望：方法与情景（英）.docx

NRE1.TransformingENERGYAshreetaPrasanna,KevinMcCabe,BenSigrin,andNateBlairDNRE1.TransformingENERGYStorageFuturesStudyDistributedSolarandStorageOutlook:MethodologyandScenariosAshreetaPrasanna,KevinMcCabe,BenSigrin,andNateBlairSuggestedCitation：Prasanna,Ashreeta,KevinMcCabe.BenSlgrin,andNateBlair.StorageFuturesStudy;DistributedSolarandStorageOutlook:MethodologyandScenarios.Golden,CO:NationalRenewableEnergy1.aboratory.NRE1.TP-7A40-79790.https:WWW.nrel.gov/docs/fy21osti/79790.pdf.NOTICEThisworkwasauthoredbytheNationalRenewableEnergy1.aboratory,operatedbyAllianceforSustainableEnergy,1.1.C,fortheU.S.DepartmentofEnergy(DOE)underContractNo.DE-AC36-08G028308.FundingprovidedbyU.S.DepartmentofEnergyOfficeofEnergyEfficiencyandRenewableEnergySolarEnergyTechnologiesOffice,U.S.DepartmentofEnergyOfficeofEnergyEfficiencyandRenewableEnergyWindEnergyTechnologiesOffice,U.S.DepartmentofEnergyOfficeofEnergyEfficiencyandRenewableEnergyWaterPowerTechnologiesOfficeandU.S.DepartmentofEnergyOfficeofEnergyEfficiencyandRenewableEnergyOfficeofStrategicAnalysis.TheviewsexpressedhereindonotnecessarilyrepresenttheviewsoftheDOEortheU.S.Government.ThisreportisavailableatnocostfromtheNationalRenewableEnergy1.aboratory(NRE1.)atWWW.nrel.gov/Dublications.U.S.DepartmentofEnergy(DOE)reportsproducedafter1991andagrowingnumberofpre-1991documentsareavailablefreeviaWWWQST1.gov.Frontandbackcoverphotos:iStock936999506,iStock1178922834,/Stock1202603676,iStock1270012506.NRE1.printsonpaperthatcontainsrecycledcontent.PrefaceThisreportisoneinaseriesoftheNationalRenewableEnergy1.aboratory,sStorageFuturesStudy(SFS)publications.TheSFSisamultiyearresearchprojectthatexplorestheroleandimpactofenergystorageintheevolutionandoperationoftheU.S.powersector.TheSFSisdesignedtoexaminethepotentialimpactofenergystoragetechnologyadvancementonthedeploymentofutility-scalestorageandtheadoptionofdistributedstorage,aswellastheimplicationsforfuturepowersysteminfrastructureinvestmentandoperations.Theresearchfindingsandsupportingdatawillbepublishedasaseriesofreports,witheachreportbeingreleasedonitscompletion.ThefollowingtableliststhespecificresearchtopicsplannedforexaminationundertheSFSandtheassociatedpublicationformats.Thisreport,thefourthintheSFSseries,providesasetofscenariosforcost-effectivenessandcustomeradoptionforarangeofscenariosthatincludefuturetechnologycostsandvaluationofbackuppower.TheSFSseriesprovidesdataandanalysisinsupportoftheU.S.DepartmentofEnergy,sEnergySlOrageGrandChallenge,acomprehensiveprogramtoacceleratethedevelopment,commercialization,andutilizationofnext-generationenergystoragetechnologiesandsustainAmericangloballeadershipinenergystorage.TheEnergyStorageGrandChallengeemploysausecaseframeworktoensurestoragetechnologiescancost-effectivelymeetspecificneeds,andincorporatesabroadrangeoftechnologiesinseveralcategories:electrochemical,electromechanical,thermal,flexiblegeneration,flexiblebuildings,andpowerelectronics.Moreinformation,anysupportingdataassociatedwiththisreport,linkstootherreportsintheseries,andotherinformationaboutthebroaderstudyareavailableathttps:/WWW.nrel.gov/analysis/StOrage-futures.html.TitleDescriptionRelationtoThisReportTheFourPhasesofStorageDeployment:AFrameworkfortheExpandingRoleofStorageintheU.S.PowerSystemExplorestherolesandopportunitiesfornew,cost-competitivestationaryenergystoragewithaconceptualframeworkbasedonfourphasesofcurrentandpotentialfuturestoragedeployment,andpresentsavaluepropositionforenergystoragethatcouldresultincost-effectivedeploymentsreachinghundredsofgigawattsofinstalledcapacity.ProvidesbroadercontextontheimplicationsofthecostandperformancecharacteristicsfortheU.S.gridandprovidesagrid-scalebackdroptothedistributedstorageconclusionsofthisreport.StorageFuturesStudy:StorageTechnologyModelingInputDataReportReviewsthecurrentcharacteristicsofabroadrangeofmechanical,thermal,andelectrochemicalstoragetechnologieswithapplicationtothepowersector.Providescurrentandfutureprojectionsofcost,performancecharacteristics,andlocationalavailabilityofspecificcommercialtechnologiesalreadydeployed,includinglithium-ionbatterysystemsandpumpedstoragehydropower.Providesstoragetechnologycostandperformanceassumptionsthatinformstoragedeploymentandgridevolutionscenariospresentedinthisreport.StorageFuturesStudy:EconomicPotentialofDiurnalStorageintheU.S.PowerSectorAssessestheeconomicpotentialforutilityscalediurnalstorageandtheeffectsthatstoragecapacityadditionscouldhaveonpowersystemevolutionandoperations.Analyzesutility-scalestoragedeploymentandgridevolutionscenariosasacomplementtothisreport.StorageFuturesStudy:DistributedSolarandStorageOutlook:MethodologyandScenariosAssessesthecustomeradoptionofdistributeddiurnalstorageforseveralfuturescenariosandtheimplicationsforthedeploymentofdistributedgenerationandpowersystemevolution.Thisreport.GridOperationalImplicationsofWidespreadStorageDeployment(forthcoming)Assessestheoperationandassociatedvaluestreamsofenergystorageforseveralpowers