TurningPoint：TheBombandtheColdWar《转折点：原子弹与冷战（2024）》第一季第五集完整中英文对照剧本.docx
（基辅）（乌克兰俄♥罗♥斯♥）（扎波罗热核电站）视频显示核电站陷于火焰和烟雾之中VideoshowsflamesandsmokeengulfingtheZaporizhzhiapowerplant.（扎波罗热核电站2022年3月3日）扎波罗热核电站是欧洲最大的核电站ZaporizhzhiaisthebiggestnuclearplantinEurope.六个机组中有两个遭到重型武器的炮击Twoofthesixunitswereshelledbyheavyweapons.（杰曼加卢申科）他说：”立刻停止袭击He,ssaying,"Stopshootingimmediately."你们威胁到整个世界的安全了”"Youthreatenthesecurityofthewholeworld."我们听说俄♥罗&hearts撕♥军队We'rehearingthatRussianforces已经接管了那座巨大的核电站haveactuallytakenoverthatmassivenuclearplant.普♥京♥正在使用民用基础设施并将其军事化和武器化Putinisusingcivilinfrastructureandmilitarizingit,Weaponizingit.他很清楚如果武器He,sawarethatit'simpossibletoshootback是在核电站所在的地方使用的那就不可能发动反击iftheweaponsarebeingusedfromtheterritoryofanuclearpowerplant.他甚至不需要真正的炸♥弹♥Hedoesnotevenneedanactualbomb.六个机组Sixblocks.意味着六个切尔诺贝利ItmeanssixChernobyls.（弗拉基米尔泽连斯基）意味着欧洲最大的危险ItmeansthebiggestdangerinEurope.（切尔诺贝利核电站乌克兰普里皮亚特）他们当时已经占领了切尔诺贝利TheyalreadyoccupiedatthattimeChernobyl.（切尔诺贝利禁区2022年2月24日）俄♥罗&hearts撕&hearts库队已经控制了UkrainianofficialssayRussianforceshavenowtakencontrol臭名昭著的切尔诺贝利核电站ofthatinfamousChernobylnuclearplant.世界上最严重的核灾难发生地Thesceneoftheworld'sworstnucleardisasterin1986.（切尔诺贝利核灾难1986年4月26日）他们可以说："我们可以让灾难重演”They-Theycouldsay,"Wecoulddothiscatastropheagain."太疯狂了It,sinsane.俄♥罗♥斯♥近乎冒着引发另一场切尔诺贝利式灾难的风险RussiaisdangerouslyclosetoriskinganotherChernobyl-Iikecatastrophe,在某种程度上俄♥罗♥斯♥也在冒着在乌克兰战场上andinsomeways,riskingthecreationofthisdirtybombofnucleardestruction制♥造&卜earts;核毁灭脏弹的危险rightthereontheUkrainianbattlefield.转折点：原♥子♥弹♥与冷战第五章战争竞赛1980年夏天卡特总统手下的国♥家♥安♥全♥顾问Inthesummerof1980,theNationalSecurityAdvisor,Brzezinskt布热津斯基whoworkedforPresidentCarter,半夜在家里接到一通电♥话♥gotthiscallathomeinthemiddleofthenight.是布热津斯基的军事助理比尔奥多姆上校打来的ItwasBrzezinski'smilitaryassistant,ColonelBillOdom,他说：“我们刚刚收到警报andhesaid,"We,vejustgottenanalert大约有200枚苏联导弹正朝美国飞来”thattherearelike200SovietmissilesheadedtowardtheUnitedStates."（红色电♥话♥）布热津斯基说：“进一步确认一下”Brzezinskisays,"Well,getbetterconfirmation."奥多姆给他lnl电♥话♥说：“我搞错Odomcallshimbackandhesays,Iwasmistaken.'1不是200枚是大概2000枚”,It,snot200.Ifslike2,000."晚年时布热津斯基聊起此事时Inlateryears,Brzezinski,talkingaboutit,说他当时选择不叫醒自己的妻子saidhechosenottowakeuphiswife.华盛顿将在几分钟内消失Washingtonwouldbegoneinamatterofminutes.他觉得不如让她在睡梦中死去Hethoughtshewasbetteroffdyinginhersleep.他准备叫醒美国总统AndhegetsreadytowakeupthePresidentoftheUnitedStates对他说：“你要做一个选择“andsay,"Youhaveachoicetomake."就在他要这么做之前Andjustbeforehedoesthat,他再次接到军事顾问的电♥话♥hegetsanothercallfromhismilitaryadvisorsaying,他说：“是错误警报”"Ah.It'safalsealarm."一块价值40美分的电脑芯片坏了Therewasa40-centcomputerchipthatwentbad告诉系统我们受到了苏联的攻击thattoldthesystemthatwewereunderattackbytheSovietUnion.如果卡特总统决定发射导弹IfPresidentCarterhaddecidedtolaunch,美国就将对俄♥罗♥斯&hearts波动全面攻击theUnitedStateswouldhavelaunchedafull-scaleattackagainstRussia这可能会引发俄♥罗♥斯♥对我们的报复thatprobablywouldhavetriggeredretaliationbyRussiaagainstus.那可能就是世界末日了Thatcouldhavebeentheendoftheworld.过去77年的核武器发展史Thehistoryofnuclearweaponsoverthelast77years可以告诉我们我们曾经无数次接近灾难willtellusthatwe'vegottenveryclosetocatastrophenumeroustimes.我们能幸免于难Andwhenwe'vesurvived,是因为我们非常幸运it'sbecausewe,vegottenincrediblylucky.差点擦枪走火只是拥有核武器的问题之一Closecallsarejustafeatureofhavingnuclearweapons.从这些年来看问题还有几十种Therehavebeenliterallydozensovertheyears.这还只是五角大楼承认的几十种DozensjustthatthePentagonacknowledges.存在形式包括爆♥炸♥They'vetakentheshapeofexplosions.丢失核原料lostnuclearmaterial,武器错放以及差点擦枪走火misplacedweapons,andclosecalls.到20世纪70年代初人们开始努力控制核冲突Bytheearly1970s,there'sanefforttoregulatethenuclearconflict以减少核风险toreducenucleardanger.但当吉米卡特担任总统时ButwhenJimmyCarterwaspresident,很多人都普遍感觉苏联正在前进alotofpeoplehadageneralizedsensethattheSovietUnionwasontheadvance.苏联入侵了阿富汗TheSovietshadinvadedAfghanistan.他们违反了二战后的一项共识TheyviolatedanunderstandingsincetheendofWorldWarII.他们军事入侵了世界的一部分Theyhadmovedintoapartoftheworld,militarily,而这一部分在他们从纳粹占领中解放东欧时thathadnotbeenpartofthespherecreated并不属于他们创造的范围whentheyliberatedEasternEuropefromNazioccupation.苏联人侵阿富汗TheSovietinvasionofAfghanistan似平表明苏联想要统治世界seemedtocrystallizethattheSovietswantedworlddomination.加上苏联拥有比美国更多的核导弹的消息AndwithnewsthattheSovietshadmorenuclearmissilesthantheUnitedStates,给人的感觉是："我们落后了thesensewas,"Wearefallingbehind."他们是一个威胁”"Theyareathreat."（罗纳德里根共和党总统候选人1980年）我们为苏联打开了一扇危险的脆弱之窗WehaveopenedadangerouswindowofvulnerabilitytotheSovietUnion.罗纳德里根曾是一名演员RonaldReaganwasaformeractor.他曾连任两届加州州长Heisatwo-termgovernorofCalifornia,他的支持者是保守派andhebuildshisconstituencyofconservatives这些人对与苏联的缓和政策whoareunhappywiththisideaofdetentewiththeSovietUnion,或者缓和紧张关系的想法十分不满orrelaxationoftensions.战争5和平的问题已成为核心问题双方的相互迁就Thequestion
